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Dynamic thermal simulation of phase-change materials: a thin PCM lining board fitted into a lightweight timber-frame wall build-up

Phase change materials: thermal mass for buildings that don’t have any

In short: Phase change materials (PCMs) give lightweight buildings the heat-buffering behaviour of heavy thermal mass without the weight, absorbing heat as they melt and releasing it as they re-solidify. Their real-world benefit hinges on climate, placement and a cool enough night to reset which is why dynamic thermal simulation, not a product datasheet, is the only reliable test.

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Dynamic thermal modelling comparison of a heavyweight and a lightweight wall of the same U-value with their daily indoor temperature curves

What is U-value and why alone won’t keep a building comfortable

In short: U-value measures steady-state heat loss; it says nothing about how a wall behaves over a day. Dynamic thermal modelling captures what it misses and shows that in warm climates a high-thermal-mass envelope can deliver 12% fewer discomfort hours and 5% lower cooling demand than a lightweight wall of the same U-value (Rugani et al., 2021).

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Energy modelling programs occupancy data: many conflicting profile charts resolved into one harmonised curve on a desk

Inside FREDS: the occupancy database born from a data problem

In short: Energy modeling programs inherit their occupancy assumptions from standard databases and those databases disagree so badly that the same building can return results varying by up to 4,000–6,000% . The FREDS occupancy database is the fix: a harmonized set reconciling six major sources into one coherent default, published in Energy & Buildings (Rugani, Picco et al., 2024).

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Building energy simulation and occupancy shown by a modern office building at dusk with a scattered pattern of lit and dark floors

The 4000% problem in building energy simulation

In short: Building energy simulation results can vary by 4,000–6,000% for the same building depending solely on which standard occupancy database supplies the people, lighting and equipment data. Peer-reviewed research across six databases, nine building types and three climates quantified the problem and produced a harmonized fix.

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Building performance simulation concept: a stopwatch resting on detailed architectural blueprints showing speed and precision

How fast can simulation be before it stops being accurate?

In short: Building performance simulation is often assumed to trade speed for accuracy — but the research shows that is a false choice at early design stage. A simplified model on a validated EnergyPlus engine matched a detailed hand-built model within 4.8% on heating and 14.0% on cooling, inside the 20% screening margin, with automation costing about 2% (Picco and Marengo, 2019).

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Energy modelling software for architects shown on a laptop running the FREDS building energy analysis dashboard at a design desk

Energy modelling software for architects who aren’t energy modellers

In short: Energy modeling software for architects needs to run on concept-stage information, return results in minutes, and use a validated engine. FREDS builds a full EnergyPlus model from a limited amount of inputs and runs it in the browser, benchmarked within 20% on heating and cooling against a detailed model, an acceptable margin for early-stage design (Picco and Marengo, 2019).

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